BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 133 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This week, we have a 13-fight card at Boise, Idaho. It’s headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, who will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card because it is only a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there’s still well over $100k to be won. I will be pursuing my fair share of that money and I trust you guys will be too. Here are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend and my fade of this week.
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” drama on this particular card and his -300 gaming lineup would concur with me. That is where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights so he has a whole lot of upside as well. He could possible score over two winners on this card combined. I really do think he is in drama for GPPs too for this reason, but he will likely be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about ownership as much in cash games. I’d suggest paying up for the costly cost in your cash games and then search for at least 3 others wins you’re confident in.
GPP play of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to be the way better striker inside this struggle and I think this is where the fight will take place. He can get KO’d at the opening seconds of the fight and score 0 points, but that is what makes him a GPP play instead of a money match play. With these two Heavyweights, we need to likely see a KO inside the 25-minues and I think the former champion, JDS, will be the one to receive it. He has good takedown defense so he should be able to maintain this fight on the feet where he’ll have a 4-inch reach advantage to work with.
Underdog play of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to be my underdog play of this week. The chances indicate that the fight should be fairly close and there’s a good possibility that he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the advantage. In 5 fights he hasn’t seen a decision yet, and there is a chance it remains that way if he receives Brown to the ground. Niko includes some slick submissions in his arsenal along with a lot of heart. On the feet, Brown likely has the advantage with his achieve, but Price does have some sneaky power also, which can’t be overlooked. All in all, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he is only $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will require a finish to have a shot at paying that pricey salary and that I don’t want to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than one takedown in a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we must see this fight take place on the feet. I believe Perez should be the person to receive his hands raised in the end but I think that it will be via decision. If that is true then he could score ~60 points in a win, and also at $9.1k that isn’t going to win anyone a championship. I’ll be full fading Perez this week and hoping he doesn’t get the end and he’s my official fade of the week.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on every fight, my private strategies & suggestions, and my selection prediction for every single fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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