UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW
While it will not be the biggest battle sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is the largest MMA event of the entire year. In addition to the Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two extra name bouts, contenders and enjoyable battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the gambling odds have proceeded for many 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his thoughts on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite first time these two scrapped and a few naively anticipated the lineup could be similar this time around. However, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect anticipated on the line. It’s difficult to blame bettors either, Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some tough battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each component of that first fight. Expect something similar – if not dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how seriously he takes his preparation, Jones is the type of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the ultimate event. Cormier is his biggest rival and he’s the opportunity to recover the belt he never lost against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch of Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line has not seen much motion. Given the contrasting styles, that is not hard to believe. There is a contingent of people who believe Woodley will starch Maia using the first punch he yells. They might well be right. The opposing side of the coin is made up of people who believe that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They are right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher will be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at going into the clinch if not under stress that he ought to have the ability to create Woodley miss once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that’s a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to initiate Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he’s perfected the single leg to rear take) and Woodley being the kind of guy who likes to burst from places will only hurt him after that happens. It’s kind of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an excess dollar (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley will not have the ability to endure 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wishes to. The other option is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for the champ in Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable depends on what kind of bettor you are. In case you have no difficulty throwing a huge lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at almost -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop like Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a play relies on Evinger’s strength. She has taken damage in several of her fights and persevered and she likely won’t return to conquer Cyborg in this one after a tough beginning, there’s an external shot she is able to endure five minutes. However, even the prices for”Fight Begins Round two” and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less attractive even to somebody who is always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this struggle is occurring after both guys have seemingly passed their peak concerning durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best are a thing to behold. This fight will return to space management and in-fight choices. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone would like to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will gradually see him get indoors and at the point, expect Cerrone to be much too ready to oblige him that the war he’s looking for. While that will grant us the kind of fight we want to view, don’t expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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