UFC FN150 Betting Tips & Plays
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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the toes and a durable way to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by specialized boxers but contrary to the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated aggressive striker for the branch, he was very aggressive. Perry is strong from the clinch but his takedown defense remains unproven against a valid grappler. Cowboy could harness the ground game as he has underrated wrestling, however, he tends to fight with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent problem and here against Perry that could be a significant mistake. He’s got big electricity himself but both men are quite hittable. On the toes it likely favours Perry, at least to the first half of the fight when he is most dangerous. Look for a back and on warfare, together with all the durability of Perry making the gap — as both men absorb deep damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three battle losing streak but has been aggressive in most fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. In 40 years old he brings a not as aggressive fashion nowadays that has lead to six sequential choices. His output seems to be slowing his exact boxing fashion remains, allowing him to function behind a jab against diminished opponents. Sakai is considerably younger so could be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He is big and throws powerful yet slow singular strikes, with reduced quantity. Primarily a fighter, Arlovski will not need to worry about too many different weapons.
This is likely to be a gradual struggle using the more effective striker coming out on top. Look for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai from the outside or utilize his wrestling to maintain him against the fence. If he can avoid becoming caught a determination here is likely for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt which makes her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst restricted with striking, she’s relentless with takedowns and has a wide array of techniques to get conflicts to the floor. On top she is quite solid, maintaining control and attacking subs. That is obviously a large step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not shown great takedown defense to match her offensive wrestling skills. She’d be best to attempt to keep this battle standing where her improved striking should be able to edge out volume.
Jandiroba is not shown at this level but looks like the real deal, displaying outstanding method and composure. Worst case situation Esparza is able to defend her off back and make scrambles to force dramatic exchanges, taking us to a close decision. A much better position is Jandiroba dominating with her high control and procuring a unanimous conclusion or finding a submission. An Esparza end is quite unlikely. Given the chances and respective avenues to victory, a shot on the newcomer in money is fantastic value.
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