Best Bets for UFC 219: Weekly Wagering Deep Dive
UFC 219 is set to occur this Saturday night (Dec. 30) at Las Vegas, Nevada, and let’s just say it doesn’t scream”caliber” like previous end-of-year UFC cards.
Normally the UFC stacks its card of the year in the top to bottom. In 2017, we now get a main event between Holly Holm and Cris Cyborg. Though it has the potential to be a fantastic fight, it doesn’t necessarily scream”purchase this pay-per-view!”
This is also an extremely hard card to bet on as there aren’t lots of fights that it is possible to find a powerful read on. A number of the favorites, such as Cyborg and Khabib Nurmagomedov, deserve to become overpowering favorites, yet could also readily get merked with their opponents. Danger lurks.
That said, we need to generate some plays. So let us do the best we can to come across some golden underdogs, some worthy props, along with a lucrative parlay. Also checking out my Best Bets for UFC Futures from last week, where I proposed a couple of’dogs (Carla Esparza and Neil Magny) who still hold some value.
Golden Underdogs
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori (-222) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+187)
At first glance, this moneyline in BetOnline seems perfectly okay, but if you take a closer look at this preliminary matchup, it is possible to find some strong reasons to select the puppy in Omari”The Wolverine” Akhmedov (17-4).
Although Marvin Vettori (12-3) is a bigger fighter who loves to throw down, averaging 3.13 significant strikes landed per moment, he does not possess enough power to shoot Akhmedov out via (T)KO, therefore this battle might end up being a grappling affair. While Akhmedov has revealed previously that he has some power in his hands (seven wins by knockout and two”Battle of the Night” bonuses in the UFC), in which he excels is in the wrestling section. The Dagestani grappler may easily wind up controlling the fight if the bulk is spent in the clinch or around the mat.
The kryptonite I watch for Akhmedov is that his gasoline tank. Can he strike a cardio wall like he did in successive knockout losses to Sergio Moraes and Elizeu Zaleski? In both of those declines, Akhmedov started strong but faded badly in the subsequent rounds.
He followed up those losses with two hard-working conclusion wins Kyle Noke and Abdul Razak Alhassan, the latter an upset at UFC Fight Night 109. Right now I’m leaning towards”The Wolverine’s” hard hands and wrestling acumen for a second possibly profitable upset.
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