UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216
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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with all the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his abilities are unlikely to be improving. Mitrione gets the exceptional technique, power and durability standing that ought to see him using a sensible advantage. Kharitonov will be seeking to get down the fight but it will be difficult given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative beginning from both men before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he’s had just 1 success since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his condition the struggle seems to be lined overly wide. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the toes early. If Cain has lost a step or comes from appearing slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style brings a lot of pressure to opponents but he is open to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and seem to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 battle going in. However, the winner of the struggle is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all time low after his recent KO but his conduct towards the top was remarkable. Inside this matchup he’ll function as superior technical boxer with the length and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mimic his opponent but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but all other avenues to success have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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