BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This week, we have a Fight Pass card at Singapore. Because it is in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I have set the alarm and I will be up ready to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings doesn’t have many big tournaments this week so that I will be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will probably be in money games. But, There’s still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I enjoy and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights generally score as a whole along with also the winner nearly always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I typically look for at least 100 total points should I stack a struggle in cash and that I think for this being a possible 5-rounds, it should score well over that. If Edwards win this fight, it’s probably an early KO, and if that happens he will score very large. If Cerrone wins, then he could lock up a entry or a knockout and that will easily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. But in any event, you have the winner in your lineup and the ensured 30-90 win bonus points should you stack. I believe this battle will be fun so long as it lasts and there ought to be a fantastic number of points added up before these two get completed. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang always puts on a show when he measures in the Octagon. He is a quick pace fighter who scores well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he must be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he could complete this fight on the feet or the ground and if this happens he would very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I think he’s the maximum ceiling. That’s what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he’s $400 cheaper than his opponent. I think saving that $400 is a fantastic move in money or GPP games so that I enjoy Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will seem to maintain this fight on the toes and hunt for that KO win. If he can get the win, then ” I think he must readily pay off that price tag and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary issue with Pereira is that she’s too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points from her and I think she needs get a finish to perform that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She does not strike at a high enough speed or territory enough takedowns to score 88 points in my personal opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her competitor against the fence for a good portion of the struggle and no issues have been scored when that occurs. If she does that again , there’s absolutely no way she even comes near 88 points even with a win. I will have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for different favorites instead.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and also my selection prediction for every single struggle then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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