20 TIPS FOR GETTING THE BEST POSSIBLE ODDS
The goal of the Fair Odds Recording methodologies at Winning Edge Investments is for each member to beat the cost recorded in official outcomes, or at the very least fit them.
Below is a summary of the top 20 ways to get the best possible chances, and exceed official outcomes:
1) Utilize Dynamic Odds (or other odds comparison sites )
One of the major factors – if not the major factor – in gambling profitably is striving to have the absolute best price possible.
Once all of the work is completed and you are onto a fantastic thing, there’s no larger’own goal’ than taking an inferior price. It requires the same amount of time and effort to set the wager, yet you get paid (sometimes considerably ) less.
When you’re after any of our solutions, it is crucial that you aim to get the lowest prices possible. There is no point going to the 1 bookie and just taking their cost if others are paying greater.
Take yourself back to the old-school betting ring at the track…you would not get it done! You’d always search for the best cost and zero in on that bookie.
Luckily, odds comparison sites permit you to replicate that when betting on the internet. Rather than having to make your way across all the different bookies’ sites or apps, odds comparison websites allow you to just select your race or sporting event and watch multiple bookies’ costs side-by-side.
There is a few odds comparison choices on the market. In our opinion, the best one available is Dynamic Odds. Click on the hyperlink and we’ve organised an exclusive 4-week free trial for you. It’s an easy-to-use and readily customisable item. It is possible to pick that bookies to show on screen, there is a mountain of options and tools, and best of all, you can sign into all your bookie accounts through the program and just bet from Dynamic Opportunities together with the click of a button. Click which cost you need, put in your bet, and you are on. It’s quick and dead-simple to use and guarantees you always get the very best price of all the bookies.
If you aren’t using Dynamic Odds you’re costing yourself a fortune in extra gains. It amazes us that there are still members reporting that they are still not utilising this instrument. Even a small punter working full-time will improve their profits considerably with Dynamic Odds. You can check and compare prices together with your own bookies quickly on your own laptop or mobile phone, and even place bets through your mobile with your entire bookies employing the dynamic odds mobile edition. This is much quicker and more powerful than betting through every bookie program or site separately. Do not forget clicking our link gets you a 4-week free trial, so if you have not attempted it yet, get onto it today. The premium version only costs $35 per month. For the excess money you’ll earn by having the ability to easily take better prices, that’s an absolute bargain. Trust us, it’s worth every cent.
2) Have many bookmaker accounts
The basic rule with bookmakers is simply to gain access to as many as you can, as it gives you a greater prospect of always having the ability to wager the very best price. Take your betting bank and spread it around as many bookmaker accounts as you can. It is much better to have your own bankroll equally split across 10bookmaker balances than all sitting one.
There’s a lot of options out there when it comes to bookies. Our suggestions, as a way of importance/benefit are as follows:
Betfair, Bet365, Vicbet, TopSport, Sportsbet, Sportsbetting, NSW Tab, VIC Tab, Ubet, BlueBet,Ladbrokes, Neds, BetEasy, TopBetta, David Dwyer, Betstar, Bookmaker, Tabtouch, Greatest Bookies, Unibet, Palmerbet & Classicbet.
3) Bookies using a buffer
In case you haven’t got an account with Bet365, be certain that you get one instantly. Bet365 routinely offer the best early deals on racing, and in addition provide an SP guarantee. Bet365 cover best of fixed cost or SP, whichever is higher. It can be worth sometimes taking a lower fixed cost to guarantee the possible advantage of’drift protection’. Whilst that is often a fantastic alternative, best bag or Betfair SP will normally outperform SP on any drifter. Taking early costs with Bet365 will provide you the chance to exceed official outcomes, together with the SP buffer accessible if the horse does drift. Bet365 are well-known for banning winning punters, but with NSW and Vic now having minimal bet laws in place, Bet365 is right back in the picture for everybody. Use them where their price is over or close to the 3rd best fixed price in the e-mail as there’s an SP buffer (as long as you aren’t restricted from this product).
4) Betfair
Betfair routinely offer the best odds available in the market for horse racing, particularly during the last 15 minutes of betting.
Usually Betfair gets you the best odds on horses drifting in the market, and on horses at large (double figure) prices. It’s essential have.
We can write an essay on the prices available on Betfair on some of our winners, but a handful of examples from Dean’s Tips are under. As you can see, at all spectrums of the marketplace you can get Fantastic prices on Betfair even just at Betfair SP:
??? Emmadee: Official $101, $260 Betfair SP (got out to $560 on Betfair in betting)
??? Balrov: Official $23, $60 Betfair SP (earned out to $120 on Betfair in betting)
??? Time And Truth: Official $23, $80 Betfair SP (got out to $140 on Betfair in betting)
??? Fish Bones Fry: Official $34, $60 Betfair SP (got out to $90 on Betfair in gambling )
??? Shazee Lee: Official $56, $100 Betfair SP (got out to $110 on Betfair in betting)
5) BOB
BOB stands for Best of the Best. This is a great product that provides you with the best of 3 totes or Top Fluctuation (note Top Fluctuation is figured from 25 minutes before race start time – not from the opening cost ).
Vicbet offer BOB for all races across Australia, seven days per week. TopSport provide it for Saturday Metro meetings, as do Ladbrokes/Bookmaker/Betstar. David Dwyer offers it for all Sydney metro meetings such as midweek. BOB is generally better for horses at single figure chances, also BFSP (Betfair SP) better for horses in double figure odds.
6) Additional late gambling stake on big drifters
One opportunity to think about is increasing your stake on a stunning drifter.
The Kelly Criterion (widely considered the ideal formula to use to ascertain the optimal size of a wager ), indicates that to increase long-term gains and create a greater advantage, the more you should bet. So, as an example if you rate a horse a $3 chance and can get $7 at the market, you should wager MORE than if you can obtain $5 at the market.
This theorem is the reason why we advocate having another wager at our runners if the price drifts to around 50 percent or more above the recommended price.
Some reasons that horses ramble dramatically on Betfair include;
??? Wide gate ??? High weight
??? Poor run last start or poor recent form
??? Low-rated trainer or jockey
??? First-up and not favoured
??? A hot, heavily-backed favorite in the race
These motives have already been evaluated and considered by our expert professional analysts – drifters should not concern you in many instances.
If you lock at an early cost and then the horse drifts significantly (near 50 percent or more), it’s certainly worth checking on Betfair to get your average price up, to exceed official outcomes. There have been lots of significant drifters which have won at odds far greater than official prices. It is just about accepting extra advantage when a person drifts.
7) Get on track It’s becoming reported that high prices available on track at the racecourses are above those reported through the Official Costs (which require a ridiculous 6 bookmakers to have the price for the fluctuation to be contained ). Going to the track to bet can get you better deals than available on the web.
8) Additional bookies not considered in opening fixed Rates Many bookies like Unibet, Palmerbet, Betting.Club, Betstar, Bookmaker, Neds, Classicbet, Pointsbet & Madbookie are not contained when saying the 3rd best fixed cost. You can frequently get larger fixed odds using these bookies.
9) Bookies not on Dynamic Odds
A huge proportion of members wager using Dynamic Odds, and choose the best available deals from this assortment of bookies. Because of this, there are numerous bookies whose costs are not shown on Dynamic Odds. They are also not considered in official outcomes or betting information.
However, many members do gamble with those bookies, and often find they get higher prices than main bookies. Another bonus is that as such bookies are lesser known & not on Dynamic Odds, their rates are usually available a good deal longer. If you happen to miss a historical price, it might be well worth looking at those bookies to find out if the cost might have held, as they frequently do hold much longer compared to the bookies on Dynamic Odds.
Options include: Betting.Club, Palmerbet, Madbookie & Pointsbet.
10) Horses drifting to greater deals than quoted before awake sent
This actually happens fairly frequently. From the time the alert is sent, many times a horse has drifted out to costs greater than said, but nevertheless that said cost is recorded. By way of instance, there was one event where a horse had been informed at $3.20 if the email was sent, but was $4.40 about a minute later.The $3.20 cost was recorded for this winner.
11) Bookies providing better deals than quoted after alert sent
There are in reality occasions where stakes are shipped, but there’s still 1 or two bookies who haven’t set up prices yet. Though early prices are crunched, often these bookies will post their analyst’s first rates. There was an occasion where we supported a horse out of $21 to $11, after which 1 or 2 bookies started 15 minutes after at $21. Those prices frequently sit there for a while since most members have placed their stakes.
12) Monitoring and gambling late when marketplace percentages are lower and more in your favour When we advise carrying a price with Greatest Tote/SP, Best Fluc, Betfair SP or BOB, that suggests we believe the horse will likely drift from its current fixed price in gambling.
Bets for many horse racing solutions are shipped usually between 9am and 11am, but the market percentages are larger at nowadays. Whilst we frequently acquire outstanding prices on horses which have been mispriced and firm, on many occasions natural betting movements mean the prices drift out towards beginning time since the bookies start to compete along with the market percentages reduce.
This implies often a horse drifts out, but gets backed again really late by large players. So, even though the starting price could be near or even lower than the early price, the horse has been considerably larger odds during betting.
Below are 3 examples which spring to mind, but these Kinds of market movements are commonplace:
??? Delagos: Opened $11, drifted out to $31 with corporatebookies and $30 Betfair just before the start, but just paid $15 SP
??? Maccy Fields: totaled $8.50, drifted out to $14 Betfair, reunite into $8.50 SP
??? Zerprise Journey: totaled $4.20, drifted out to $6.60 in gambling on Betfair, then firmed back into $4.10 Best Tote/SP
13) Not betting if a horse is becoming over bet Many times a horse receives’over wager’ and endorsed down to a silly, shortprice, especially at the shorter end of this marketplace. You can choose to simply not wager when the value isn’t there, or so the horse is under the rated/minimum price advised – this will save you units in the very long run and avoids taking’unders’. You could also put a minimum price on Betfair SP so you never take below the minimum price that you set / we recommend.
14) Putting back a runner Betfair if the horse is now’overbet’
Some smart members put back runners that company radically. This enables them to effectively have a’free wager’ on a runner, or also ensure a profit regardless of whether or not a horse wins or not. This grants some members the opportunity to substantially reduce variance and wager reasonably risk free, particularly when financing runners expected to firm dramatically when informed by the expert. Greyhound Genius & John’s Analytics are two solutions at which this can be very effective as all stakes are counseled to be backed at fixed odds when the email is routed, and the vast majority of bets company on the market.
15) Metro/City v Country/Provincial
Bargains on runners for Metro/City races are much lessinfluenced when stakes are released than Country/Provincial races at which they may be impacted. For Metro/City races (the major raceday in every state typically on a Saturday and Wednesday), three good choices are betting through Bet365 when you have the SP guarantee, using a Best of the ideal product (highest of Best Tote and Top Fluc) offered by manydifferent bookies such as Vicbet, or Betfair is your friend on Metro races too with amazing prices and liquidity accessible throughout betting, even though only using the Betfair SP instrument.
Note the standard tracks for Metro/City racing are:
??? NSW: Randwick, Rosehill, Warwick Farm and Canterbury
??? VIC: Flemington, Caulfield, Moonee Valley, Sandown Hillside and Sandown Lakeside
??? QLD: Eagle Farm and Doomben
??? SA: Morphettville and Morphettville Parks
??? WA: Ascot and Belmont
For Provincial & Country racing, choosing some of the better fixed costs available at the time bets are shipped is a good strategy, but if you are able to monitor prices even only on a few days such as weekends, you’ll find through a blend of corporate bookies, Betfair and totes that you will receive excellent prices well above those listed.
16) Consider the advised unit bets The advised unit stakes are an excellent guide on whether to bet early or late on selections. According to your experience with an agency, or assessment of the prior results, you are able to determine the standard amount. For most services that the’standard’ amount the expert aims to collect on a win bet isaround 5 components. If that’s the case and the ceremony backs a horse for 1 unit to acquire, and the horse is chances of 5, that is about normal as a fantastic bet. If the horse is chances of 10, then we stand to collect 10u when the horse wins, then that’s a high confidence bet. This horse will often firm in gambling. If the horse is odds of $2 we stand to accumulate 2u, therefore this is low assurance, or possibly just a’saver’ wager. This horse will frequently float in betting. So using the amount to be collected, with 5u (or the average collect) as the’barometer’, may be a fair indication of whether a horse will firm or float, especially in the extreme ends of this spectrum. This can help you decide whether to back the horse ancient at a fixed cost, or choose a late betting option like BFSP/BOB/BTSPif unable to monitor. An example was a horse named Flash Boy at Bendigo. Advised 0.5w but available market price was only $5. Given that’s only a 2.5un win accumulate, locking in an early fixed cost was not the thing to do. Individuals who backed it with Bet365 got $9 SP, BTSP paid $10.90, BFSP $13, and final matched Betfair cost was $14.50. One question that is asked is when should a bet not be placed if the value is now? In general terms, advised bets should be put, however, the best way to describe is with extreme examples. Firstly, let us say weadvise 1u to triumph a horse at $31 to get a 31u amass. Should you back it should you miss early rates and it firms to $10? The solution is yes, since the 1u investment nevertheless stands to accumulate 10u and that is still a major collect and a big profit. The significant firming suggests simply how incorrect the initial market price was, but just how much you stand to collect suggests that the horse is still a value bet. If I counsel 0.1u on a horse at $31, and it firms to $10 until you’ve bet, well then you only stand to collect 1u if it wins backing it $10, well below what you would ordinarily expect to collect to a winner with the service, so you might give this horse a miss as long term there is very little value to be had taking unders on those runners. A better example is when an agency advises 1u to win in a horse at $5, and it firms to $ two until you’ve placed you wager. Again the original amass was 5u, but today with a 1u investment onto a 2u accumulate, this no longer would be a rewarding investment. It’s an art, not a science, and ultimately your decision, however, the above can help lead you towards when to wager early or late (or not at all in rarer instances).
17) One suggestion in a race v multiple championships in a race
If there is 1 bet in a race, then there is more likelihood of this runner firming (especially if the anticipated win bet accumulate is anything above 4u). Whenever there are 2 bets in a rush, it is often the case that you firms and you drifts. However when there are a number of bets at a race (3 or more), it’s quite rare they will all company. Usually maybe 1 firms and the rest drift, or often they will all drift. The only exception is if we sharply back 3 runners at big odds to conquer a short priced favorite. If the short favourite drifts, others could company, but it might go the other way. Again, the aggressiveness of this staking will steer you on whether to wager late or early. However the more horses backed, the further that locking in fixed early prices without an SP buffer ought to be prevented unless the collect is well above 5u. When there are multiple runners in a hurry it is often a good opportunity to track or utilize BOB/BFSP/BTSP.
18) Do not worry about always getting the best possible price every time
It is not possible, or even required. All of our services are highly lucrative, with results easily achieved by following the advice contained here. Constant improvement on your gambling practices will imply constant improvement in your long-term outcomes, and that’s the trick to long term success with your gambling. Have a couple of minutes outside every day (or only once every now & then) to review the flucs & closure prices available of runners we back using lively odds & you’ll shortly open your eyes to the possible opportunities.
19) Change your mindset: Don’t suffer from FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out)
As a general rule, many punters suffer with FOMO. They take a fixed cost on many occasions. The marketplace has shifted radically and market percentages in early markets have continued to change upwards to often 130%-135%, which is very high. Taking early fixed costs can be debatable also if there are scratchings, where heavy deductions can be applied, further reducing your final dividend. A mindset shift for many is vital. Realising that the Betfair market close to race start time gets down to around 102%, and also waiting and attempting to monitor prices and wager late will lead to better overall results for those willing to take the moment.
20) Don’t be idle, and stop making excuses
Whilst we know most members have jobs, the reality is a large proportion of bets are sent to weekends, or outside ordinary working hours. For many members, there will be periods where they aren’t working, and it is at these times where members should look to exceed official results by tracking and placing bets late rather than blindly betting using Fixed or Best Tote/BOB/BFSP type options. Like many things in life, the more effort you put in, the better the result will be. Also like most things, the longer you practice something, the more you become. In this day & age with smart phones, bookmaker programs & Dynamic Odds, etc, comparing costs and placing bets at the best odds has never been more simple & reachable. Invest sensibly, don’t be lazy, place a little effort in, and do not lose out on the larger profits you could readily be attaining.
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